Inani Lombila Nesheshi Eliphilayo

Intengo yommbila, ishadi eliphilayo kanye nokushukumisa imakethe

Ummbila ungenye yezimpahla zezolimo ezitshalwa kakhulu futhi ehwebeka ngamandla kunazo zonke emhlabeni. Ondla izinkomo, ukhwezisa izimoto njenge-ethanol, ufaka ubumnandi ekudleni okucutshiwe futhi usekela imnotho yakho konke yokuthumela ngaphandle, ngakho intengo yawo ibhekwa abalimi, izinkampani zokudla, abahwebi bamandla kanye nabaphathi bamabhange amakhulu ndawonye. Isilinganiso esivamile ikhonteraka lamakusasa ommbila le-CME Group (uphawu lokuhweba ZC), ebalwa ngamasenti aseMelika nge-bushel futhi ehweba eChicago cishe ubusuku nemini amazinsuku amaningi esonto. Ishadi eliphilayo kulesi khasi lilandelela leso silinganiso, ukuze ulandelele intengo ngesikhathi sangempela futhi ufunde isithombe sobuchwepheshe ngaphandle kwe-akhawunti noma ukubhalisa.

Into eyenza ummbila ube ngothandekayo indlela oluthinta ngayo ngokoqobo. Akukho bhange elikhulu elicindezela okuningi ummbila. Ukuhlinzeka nyaka nonyaka kuvela emhlabathini, ngokuvamile phakathi kokulinywa entwasahlobo nesivuno ekwindla, okusho ukuthi isimo sezulu nezinqumo zezindawo zokulima kubusa ingxoxo. I-United States ingumkhiqizi nomthumeli omkhulu kunazo zonke, ngakho isikhathi sokulima sase-U.S. sivamise ukubeka isimo semakethe yomhlaba yonke, nakuba iBrazil, i-Argentina, iChina neUkraine zonke zibalulekile ekulinganeni komhlaba jikelele.

Yini eshayela intengo yommbila

Isimo sezulu se-U.S. kanye nesivuno. Lokhu kuyisici esikhulu kunazo zonke esishintshayo esikhathini esifushane. Ummbila uzwakala ukushisa nesomiso ngesikhathi soku-pollinate maphakathi nehlobo, ngakho uJulayi obandayo neshisayo ungehlisa ama-bushel esivunweni sikazwelonke futhi ukhuphule intengo ngokushesha. Imvula eyeqile ngesikhathi sokutshala ingabambezela isivuno futhi inciphise indawo yokulima. Abahwebi babheka izilinganiso zesimo sezitshalo, amamephu emvula kanye nezibikezelo zokushisa ngobuchule kusukela ngoJuni kuya ku-Agasti.

Isidingo se-ethanol. Isabelo esikhulu sesivuno sommbila wase-U.S. siguqulwa saba ngamafutha i-ethanol, muva nje cishe ingxenye yesithathu yokusetshenziswa kwasekhaya sekonke. Ngoba i-ethanol ihlanganiswa nophethiloli, isidingo sommbila kulo mgudu siyakhuphuka futhi sehle ngokusetshenziswa kwamafutha kanye nentengo yowoyela ongahlanziwe. Ukuthunyelwa kwe-ethanol yase-U.S. nakho sekukhuphukele emazingeni angakaze abonwe muva nje, kwengeza omunye umthombo wesidingo obungakaze ube khona ngalesi sikali eminyakeni eyishumi edlule.

Isidingo sokudla kwezinkomo. Ummbila ungumdla oyisisekelo wezinkomo, izingulube kanye nezinkukhu. Uma imihlambi ikhula futhi isidingo senyama siqinile, ummbila omningi uyadliwa, okusekela intengo. Uma izindleko zokudla zicindezela abafuyi futhi imihlambi incipha, leso sidingo siyathamba.

Ukuthumela nokuncintisana komhlaba jikelele. I-U.S. incintisana ngqo nabahlinzeki base-South America, futhi isivuno esikhulu saseBrazil noma sase-Argentina singadonsa ibhizinisi lokuthumela lisuke kubalimi baseMelika. Inqubomgomo yokuhweba, izintela zokuthumela kanye nokuphazamiseka kokuthutha ngemikhumbi konke kungena ekutheni ubani othengisa kubani.

Idola laseMelika. Ummbila uthengiswa ngamadola, ngakho idola eliqinile lenza ummbila wase-U.S. ubize kakhulu kubathengi bangaphandle futhi livamise ukucindezela phansi amanani, kanti idola elibuthaka lenza ukudla kwaseMelika kuncintisane kakhulu emazweni angaphandle. Lo umthelela ofanayo wemali oyakha zonke izimakethe ezithengiswa ngamadola.

Inkathi kanye nemibiko ye-USDA

Ummbila unesigqi senkathi esibonakalayo. Amanani avame ukuthula ekuqaleni konyaka, bese ukunyakaza kwandiswa ngo-Ephreli noMeyi njengoba ukulima kuqala, kufinyelele esiqongweni ngesikhathi sesimo sezulu sikaJuni-kuya-ku-Agasti lapho ingcindezi yezitshalo ingashintsha imakethe kakhulu, futhi ivamise ukuthamba ekwindla lapho ukuhlinzeka kugcwala. Eminyakeni eminingi, amanani ezitshalo ezintsha athambekele ukuncipha phakathi kwesibonelo sentwasahlobo kanye nokuphela kwesivuno, nakuba noma yisiphi isizini elilodwa lingaphula iphethini ngokuphelele.

Izehlakalo ezihleliwe ezibaluleke kakhulu yimibiko ye-USDA. I-WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) yenyanga ibuyekeza izibikezelo zokukhiqiza, ukusetshenziswa kanye nezitoko ezisele, futhi ingashaqisa imakethe uma izinombolo zihluke kulokho abahwebi ababekulindele. Izitoko ezisele ezingaphansi kwalokho okulindelekile ngokuvamile zisho ukukhuphuka; izitoko ezinkulu zisho ukwehla. Umbiko we-Prospective Plantings wentwasahlobo kanye nezibuyekezo zesimo sezitshalo zehlobo nazo zishukumisi abalulekile. Uma uhweba noma nje ubuka ummbila, ikhalenda lemibiko libalulekile njengesimo sezulu.

Ukufunda ishadi kanjani

Ishadi elingenhla lidwebe amakusasa ommbila ngokuhamba kwesikhathi kusetshenziswa ama-candlestick. I-candle ngayinye ihlanganisa isiqephu esisodwa sesikhathi, kungaba usuku: umzimba ubonisa lapho intengo yavula futhi yavala khona, kanti izicu ezincane zimaka amazinga aphakeme naphansi. Uchungechunge lwama-candle akhuphukayo anezinga eliphakeme kunaphambili nawo aphansi kunaphambili lubonisa umkhondo ukhuphuka; okuphambene nalokho kubonisa ukwehla; ukunyakaza okucwathayo kusho ukuthi imakethe ayikaqondi, okuvamise ukwenzeka ummbila phakathi kwezinsuku zemibiko futhi ngaphandle kwesikhathi sokulima.

Amathuluzi amabili alula abamba okuningi okuyisisekelo. I-moving average inciphisa intengo ibe umugqa owodwa, ikusize ubone umkhondo obanzi ngokudlula umsindo wansuku zonke. I-support and resistance amazinga entengo lapho abathengi noma abadayisi bengene khona ngokuphindaphindiwe, benza njengoba kuba isicabha nophahla kuze kube yilapho olulodwa luphuka khona ekugcineni. Shintsha isikhathi ukuze kuhambisane nombuzo wakho: ukubuka usuku olulodwa kusabela embikweni owodwa we-WASDE, kanti ukubuka iminyaka eminingana kubonisa imijikelezo yokukhula-nokuwohloka emide elandela isivuno esikhulu nesomiso. Khumbula ukuthi izinkomba zichaza lokho osekwenzekile hhayi ukubikezela ikusasa, futhi ummbila ungagxuma ngamandla ngesikhathi semibiko.

Ummbila awuhwebi wodwa. Unyakaza ndawonye nezinye izinhlobo zokudla, ngakho kufanele uwuqhathanise nokolweni futhi uhlole konke okusekhasini le-zonke izimakethe ukuze ubone ukuthi idola, uwoyela kanye nezimpahla zezolimo ngokubanzi ziyaphi.

Ulwazi kuphela. Akukho lutho kulesi khasi olulingana neseluleko sotshalomali, futhi imininingwane yemakethe ingabambezeleka noma ingaphelele. Yenza ucwaningo lwakho ngaphambi kokuthatha noma yisiphi isinqumo sezezimali.

Imibuzo evame ukubuzwa