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Inani Lekhopha Nesheshi

Isheshi lenani lekhopha eliphilayo lensimbi yezimboni ababhebhethisi bayibiza ngo-Dr. Copper, kanye nokulishayela: iChina, ukugcwaliswa kagesi, ama-EV, ukuhlinzeka kwemayini nedola.

Kumbalwa amanani asho kangaka ngomnotho womhlaba njengentengo yethusi. Le nsimbi ihweba cishe kukho konke esikwakhayo, ngakho uma isidingo sayo sikhuphuka noma sehla, sivame ukuhamba kanyekanye nokukhula komnotho womhlaba. Lelo dumela lithole ithusi isibongo emabhodini okuhwebisa: "Dr. Copper," insimbi enephiplomasi ku-economics. Ishadi eliphila elingenhla lilandelela ama-futures ethusi ngesikhathi sangempela, futhi isifinyezo sokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe siguqula amaphawu avamile abe ukufunda okusheshayo. Leli khasi lokulandelela nokuqonda imakethe, hhayi ukwenza ukuhweba, ngakho akukho lutho okumele ubhalise kulo.

Ishadi le-Copper

Ukuhlaziya kwezobuchwepheshe

Ithusi: insimbi yamafemu izimakethe eziyibiza ngokuthi "Dr. Copper"

Kumbalwa amanani asho kangaka ngomnotho womhlaba njengentengo yethusi. Le nsimbi ihweba cishe kukho konke esikwakhayo, ngakho uma isidingo sayo sikhuphuka noma sehla, sivame ukuhamba kanyekanye nokukhula komnotho womhlaba. Lelo dumela lithole ithusi isibongo emabhodini okuhwebisa: "Dr. Copper," insimbi enephiplomasi ku-economics. Ishadi eliphila elingenhla lilandelela ama-futures ethusi ngesikhathi sangempela, futhi isifinyezo sokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe siguqula amaphawu avamile abe ukufunda okusheshayo. Leli khasi lokulandelela nokuqonda imakethe, hhayi ukwenza ukuhweba, ngakho akukho lutho okumele ubhalise kulo.

Kungani ithusi likhona yonke indawo

Ithusi liyaziwa ngezici ezimbili zomzimba: lidlulisela ugesi nokushisa kahle kakhulu, futhi lithambile ngokwanele ukuthi lidonswe libe uhlanga futhi libunjwe libe ipayipi. Lokho kuhlangana kwenza kube nzima ukulifaka esikhundleni. Umthombo omkhulu kunayo yonke wesidingo ukwakhiwa, lapho ithusi lingena kuhlanga, amapayipi, uphahla, kanye nokufudumeza. Ingqalasizinda yamandla ilandela eduze: ama-grid, ama-transformer, ama-motor, kanye ne-electronics konke kuncike kulo. Ngoba ithusi lihlala ekuqaleni kweminxa eminingi yokuhlinzeka, intengo yalo idlulisela ukuthi umhlaba wonke ulindele ukwakha, ukukhiqiza, kanye nokugesisa okungakanani.

Lobo bubanzi yikho kanye okwenza ithusi lisebenze njengesikali sesimo somnotho. Uwoyela ukutshela ngezokuthutha namandla, igolide ikutshela ngokwesaba nedola, kodwa ithusi lipayiphile emnothweni wangempela, wangokoqobo cishe kukho konke ngesikhathi esisodwa.

Amaqoqo ethusi akhanyayo nengcingo egoqekayo eduze kwesheshadi lentengo elikhanyayo ngombala we-cyan negolide esizindeni esimnyama se-indigo navy
Ukudlulisela kwethusi kwenza libe insimbi eyisisekelo yezingcingo, ama-grid, kanye ne-electronics.

Kungani lisebenza njengesibonisi somnotho

Abahwebi babiza ithusi ngokuthi "Dr. Copper" ngoba intengo yalo ngokomlando ilandelele umsebenzi womhlaba jikelele ngokuthembeka okungajwayelekile. Uma amafemu ekhuphula umsebenzi, abakhi bevula amasayithi, futhi ama-grid ekhula, isidingo sethusi siyakhuphuka futhi intengo ivame ukulandela. Uma umjikelezo upholile, ithusi livame ukubuthaka ngaphambi kwemininingwane esemthethweni iqinisekisa ukwehla. Intengo idlulisela izinsimbi ezihlanganisiwe zabakhiqizi, abakhiqizi bempahla, kanye nabahwebi mayelana nokuthi umsebenzi wamafemu uya ngakuphi, yingakho ukunyakaza okuqhubekayo ethusini kwesinye isikhathi kufika ngaphambi kwe-GDP, izinhlolovo zokukhiqizwa, noma izibalo zomsebenzi.

Akulona ibhola lomlingo. Ithusi lingashaywa amamayini ayekiswa umsebenzi, izinguquko zesitokwe, izintela, noma ukuhweba okungahlobene kakhulu nomnotho obanzi. Kodwa njengokufunda okusheshayo, okungakapheleli kwempilo yamafemu, lisala liyimpahla elandelwa kakhulu. Ungabona indlela lihlala ngayo phakathi kwamathuluzi ahlobene kuzonke izimakethe.

Yini eshukumisa intengo yethusi

Ekujuleni kwayo, ithusi ukutholakala nesidingo sensimbi ehwebelwa emhlabeni wonke, kodwa imikhono embalwa yenza iningi lokunyakaza.

  • Ukukhula komhlaba jikelele, ikakhulukazi iShayina. IShayina isebenzisa cishe uhhafu wethusi elicwengiwe emhlabeni wonke, ngakho ukwakhiwa, izakhiwo, kanye nokukhiqizwa kweShayina kuthwala isisindo esikhulu. Ukushukuma noma ukukhubazeka komsebenzi weShayina kuvame ukugeleza ngqo entengweni yethusi yomhlaba.
  • Ukukhula kokugesiswa. Le yindaba yesakhiwo ngaphansi komjikelezo. Amamoto kagesi asebenzisa cishe izikhathi ezintathu kuya kuzine ethusi ngaphezu kwemoto evamile, futhi ama-grid, ama-turbine omoya, amapulazi elanga, ukugcinwa kwe-battery, kanye ne-data centre konke kudinga ithusi eliningi. Ochwepheshe abaningi balindele isidingo sethusi sikhule kakhulu phakathi neminyaka yo-2030 njengoba ukushintshwa kwamandla kuqhubeka.
  • Ukutholakala kwamamayini. Ukukhiqizwa kuncishisiwe. IChile ne-Peru ndawonye zikhiqiza cishe amaphesenti angu-40 ethusi elimbiwa emhlabeni, ngakho izitraka, izomiso, ukuphikisana kwezimvume, noma ushintsho lwezombusazwe kulawo mazwe kungaqinisa imakethe. Amamayini amasha athatha iminyaka eminingi ukuthuthukiswa futhi izinga lezinsalela liyehla, okuncishisa isivinini sokusabela kokutholakala kwesidingo.
  • Idola lase-US. Ithusi libalwa ngamadola, ngakho idola eliqinile livame ukucindezela intengo ngokwenza insimbi ibize kakhulu kubathengi abasebenzisa ezinye izimali, kuyilapho idola elibuthaka livame ukulisekela.
  • Izitoko kanye nomuzwa. Izitoko emawuhawuzini okuhwebisa zisebenza njengesivikelo. Izitoko ezehlayo zibonisa ukuqina futhi zivame ukukhuphula amanani; izitoko ezikhuphukayo zibonisa ukuthela. Izintela nenqubomgomo yohwebo nazo zingakhiqiza izinyakazo ezinamandla, ezishukunyiswa yizihloko.

Lezi zinto ziyahlangana, yingakho ithusi lingagxuma ngombiko owodwa ngaphambi kokuba noma yiziphi izibalo zokukhula ziqinisekise ukunyakaza. Ukuze ubone umehluko walokho insimbi engakumela, qhathanisa negolide, eziphatha kakhulu njengendawo yokuphephela.

Ingcingo yethusi ekhanyayo ngaphakathi kwemoto kagesi kanye nenethiwekhi yokugcwalisa eshiwe ngombala we-cyan phezu kwe-navy emnyama nomugqa wentengo okhanya ngegolide
Ukugesiswa, kusukela kumamoto kagesi kuya ema-grid, yindaba yesakhiwo yesidingo eshukumisa ithusi.

Indlela yokufunda ishadi

Ishadi likhombisa intengo ngokwesikhathi, ngokuvamile njenge-candlesticks. Ikhandlela ngalinye limboza ingxenye eyodwa yesikhathi, futhi umzimba walo ubonisa lapho intengo yavuleka futhi yavaleka khona, kuyilapho ama-wick amancane ebonisa okuphezulu nokuphansi. Uhla lwamakhandlela enza okuphezulu okuphezulu kakhulu nokuphansi okuphezulu kakhulu kubonisa ukukhuphuka; okuphambene kubonisa ukwehla; ukugudluka ngokuvundlile kusho ukuthi imakethe ayinqumile. I-moving average ithambisa umugqa ukuze amandla abonakale kalula, futhi ama-support and resistance amazinga lapho abathengi noma abadayisi bengene khona ngokuphindaphindiwe, benza njengoba isicabha nophahla kuze kudabuke okukodwa. Shintsha isikhathi ukuze kufanele umbuzo wakho: ukubuka phakathi nosuku nokubuka iminyaka eminingi yentengo efanayo yethusi kutshela izindaba ezahlukene kakhulu. Isexwayiso esisodwa esiqotho, izikhombisi zichaza okuvele kwenzeka. Azibikezeli, futhi asikho isu elisebenza njalo.

Kwaziswa kuphela. Akukho lutho kuleli khasi oluyiseluleko sokutshala imali, futhi imininingwane yemakethe ingase ibambezeleke noma ingapheleli. Yenza ucwaningo lwakho ngaphambi kokwenza noma yisiphi isinqumo sezezimali.

Imibuzo evame ukubuzwa

Kungani ithusi libizwa ngokuthi Dr. Copper?

Ngoba intengo yalo ngokomlando ilandelele impilo yomnotho womhlaba jikelele eduze kangangokuthi abahwebi bahlekisa ngokuthi linephiplomasi ku-economics. Ithusi lisetshenziswa ekwakhiweni, ekukhiqizeni, nakumandla, ngakho isidingo salo siyakhuphuka futhi sehle ngokuhambisana nomsebenzi wamafemu obanzi.

Yini eshukumisa intengo yethusi?

Ukukhula komhlaba jikelele ikakhulukazi isidingo seShayina, ukukhula kwesikhathi eside kokugesiswa nokwamamoto kagesi, ukutholakala kwamamayini eChile ne-Peru, amandla edola lase-US, kanye namazinga ezitoko emawuhawuzini okuhwebisa. Lezi zinto ziyahlangana ukumisa intengo.

Kungani iShayina ibaluleke kangaka ethusini?

IShayina isebenzisa cishe uhhafu wethusi elicwengiwe emhlabeni wonke, ngakho umsebenzi wayo wokwakhiwa, izakhiwo, kanye nokukhiqizwa unomthelela omkhulu. Ukushukuma noma ukwehla eShayina kuvame ukushukumisa intengo yethusi yomhlaba jikelele ngqo.

Ukugesiswa kuthinta kanjani isidingo sethusi?

Amamoto kagesi asebenzisa cishe izikhathi ezintathu kuya kuzine ethusi ngaphezu kwemoto evamile, futhi ama-grid, umoya, ilanga, ukugcinwa kwe-battery, kanye ne-data centre konke kudinga izinga eliphakeme. Ochwepheshe abaningi balindele lokhu kushukumise ukukhula kwesidingo sesakhiwo iminyaka eminingi.

Iningi lethusi livelaphi?

Ukumbiwa kuncishisiwe, iChile ne-Peru ndawonye zikhiqiza cishe amaphesenti angu-40 ethusi elimbiwa emhlabeni. Ngoba amamayini amasha athatha iminyaka eminingi ukwakhiwa, ukutholakala kuncane ukuphendula izinguquko zesidingo.

Ingabe noma yikuphi kwalokhu kuyiseluleko sokutshala imali?

Cha. I-speedor.net ikhombisa intengo yethusi neshadi kwaziswa kuphela. Yenza njalo ucwaningo lwakho futhi ucabangele iseluleko sochwepheshe ngaphambi kokwenza noma yisiphi isinqumo sezezimali.