I-USD/RUB: indlela izinga ledola-kuya-kurubula elinyakaza ngayo nokuthi kungani
I-USD/RUB yizinga lohwebo phakathi kwedola lase-US kanye nerubula laseRussia. Likutshela ukuthi kudingeka amarubula amangaki ukuze uthenge idola elilodwa, ngakho inani elingu-80 lisho ukuthi idola elilodwa libiza amarubula angu-80. Lapho inombolo ikhuphuka, idola liyaqina kanti irubula liyabuthaka; lapho iwa, irubula liyanqoba. Ishadi eliphila kuleli khasi lilandelela lelo zinga ngesikhathi sangempela. Lesi sihloko sichaza ukuthi i-USD/RUB imela ini ngempela, amandla amakhulu awududulayo, kungani lingahamba ngamandla kodwa ngezinye izikhathi lingahambi kancane, kanye nendlela yokufunda ishadi ngaphandle kokuchaza ngokweqile.
Yini i-USD/RUB
Emakethe zohlobo lwemali umbhangqwana uhlale ufundwa kusuka kwesobunxele kuya kwesokudla. I-USD/RUB ilinganisa idola lase-US (USD), uhlobo lwemali oluyisiphephelo esiyinhloko emhlabeni, ngamarubula aseRussia (RUB, uphawu iziqamuzo zohlobo lwemali lwesizwe saseRussia). Uhlobo lwemali lokuqala yilona olulinganiswayo, olwesibili yilona olulinganisayo. Ngakho i-USD/RUB engu-80 isho ukuthi idola elilodwa libiza amarubula angu-80. Iningi lokutholwa kwentengo yerubula kwenzeka ku-Moscow Exchange nasemakethe engaphandle kwezikhungo ngaphakathi eRussia, kanye nezinga lansuku zonke elisemthethweni elishicilelwa yi-Central Bank of Russia. Kusukela ngo-2022, leyo makethe yasekhaya isiye yaba ehlukene kakhulu nohwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe, okuyinto ekufanele ikhunjulwe uma uqhathanisa amanani avela emithombo ehlukene.
Yini eqhuba izinga
Inani lerubula lincike kakhulu emnothweni waseRussia nasesikhundleni salo njengomthumeli omkhulu wamandla ngaphandle, kodwa amandla amaningana asebenza phezu kwe-USD/RUB kanyekanye.
Imali engenayo yokuthumela ngaphandle uwoyela negesi. Ukudayiswa kwamandla kungumthombo omkhulu kunazo zonke wohlobo lwemali lwangaphandle olungena eRussia. Lapho amanani owoyela negesi ephezulu, ama-dollar amaningi, ama-euro nama-yuan afika kudayiswa kwezimpahla zangaphandle, kwandise ukutholakala kwendawo kohlobo lwemali lwangaphandle futhi kuvame ukusekela irubula. Lapho amanani amandla ewa, lokho kugeleza kuncipha futhi irubula livame ukungena engcindezini. Lokhu kwenza izinga libe nomuzwa kuzindaba ezifanayo eziqhuba i-uwoyela olungahluziwe negesi yemvelo.
Izinhlungu nokulawulwa kwemali. Izinhlungu zaseNtshonalanga ezibekwe kusukela ngo-2022 zivimbela indlela amabhange angaphandle angahweba ngayo amarubula futhi anciphise ukufinyelela kweRussia emishinini yezimali yomhlaba jikelele. Ngokuphendula, iziphathimandla zaseRussia zethule ukulawulwa kwemali okuvimbela izakhamizi ekuthumeleni imali ngaphandle futhi, ngezinye izikhathi, zidinga abathumeli ngaphandle ukuguqula ingxenye yezimali zabo zangaphandle zibe amarubula. Lezi zinyathelo zinciphisa isidingo sasekhaya sohlobo lwemali lwangaphandle futhi zingaphakamisa irubula, kodwa ziphinde zisho ukuthi izinga libonisa inqubomgomo nokuvinjelwa njengoba kunjalo nokuhlangana nokudingeka ngokukhululekile kwemakethe.
Izinqumo zamazinga ze-Central Bank of Russia. Ibhange elimele limisa izinga eliyinhloko lenzalo elithonya irubula ngokuqondile. Amazinga aphezulu enza ukubamba amarubula kuthandeke kakhudlwana futhi kungadonsa isithakazelo se-carry-trade, kusekela uhlobo lwemali, kuyilapho ukuncishiswa kwamazinga kuvame ukwenza okuphambene. Ibhange liphinde lingenelele ngemisebenzi yohlobo lwemali lwangaphandle, lithengise i-yuan noma igolide isibonelo, ukuze linciphise ukunyakaza futhi lisekele imali engenayo yokuthumela ngaphandle eguquguqukayo.
Ezombangazwe zamazwe. Bambalwa ohlobo lwemali oluhlangene nezenzakalo zezombangazwe njengerubula. Izindaba mayelana nengxabano eUkraine, ithemba lezingxoxo, izinhlungu ezintsha, noma izimpawu zokuthi mhlawumbe zizonciphiswa, kungashintsha i-USD/RUB ngokushesha. Amathemba wodwa, hhayi imiphumela eqinisekisiwe, avame ukuqhuba lokhu kuphendula, yingakho izinga lingaphuma ngesikhathi sesihloko sesindaba esisodwa.
Idola elibanzi. Ngoba lo mbhangqwana unedola kolunye uhlangothi, amandla noma ubuthaka bedola obuvamile maqondana nezinhlobo zemali eziyinhloko kuyangena nako. I-US dollar index eyehlayo, isibonelo, ingadonsela i-USD/RUB phansi ngisho noma kuncane okushintshile ngaphakathi eRussia.
Kungani lingaguquguquka, futhi ngezinye izikhathi lilawulwe ngokuqinile
I-USD/RUB ikhombise okunye kokunyakaza okukhulu kunazo zonke kwanoma yimuphi umbhangqwana wohlobo lwemali oyinhloko eminyakeni yamuva. Umnotho oncike ezimpahleni eziyisisekelo usho ukuthi izinga lingashenxa lapho amanani amandla enyakaza, futhi imakethe eyakhiwe izinhlungu nobunengi obuvinjelwe ingaphendula ngamandla ezindabeni zezombangazwe. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukulawulwa kwemali kanye nokungenelela kwebhange elimele kungagcina izinga endaweni encane isikhathi eside, likwenze libonakale lizolile ngokungajwayelekile. Umphumela ngumbhangqwana oshintshashintsha phakathi kokuqhuma kokuguquguquka okukhulu nezikhathi zokulawulwa okuqinile, okuyisinye sezizathu zokuthi uziphatha ngendlela ehlukile kunezinhlobo zemali ezintengayo ngokukhululekile futhi kungani kunzima ukuqhathanisa naye ngqo.
Indlela yokufunda ishadi
Ishadi le-TradingView elingenhla lidweba i-USD/RUB ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Sebenzisa ukulawula kwesikhathi ukuze ukhiphaze usuka emizuzwini yosuku uze uye ezinyangeni noma eminyakeni; izikhathi ezimfushane zithatha umsindo nezindaba, ezidonswa isikhathi eside ziveza umkhuba oyisisekelo. Umugqa ophakeme yinombolo yamarubula ngedola ngalinye, ngakho umugqa okhuphukayo usho ukuthi irubula liyabuthaka kuyilapho owehlayo usho ukuthi liyaqina. Izinga eliphezulu neliphansi lezinyanga ezingu-52 kunikeza umongo wokuthi noma izinga lamanje lelulekile ngokomlando. Qaphela ukuthi ubunengi berubula bungaba mncane futhi amanani angahluka phakathi kwezindawo zohwebo ngenxa yokuhlukaniswa kwesikhathi sezinhlungu, ngakho amakhwama abukhali nezikhala kuvamile. Ungaqhathanisa i-USD/RUB nezinye izinhlobo zemali, izimpahla eziyisisekelo kanye nezilinganiso kuhlolwe kwe-zonke izimakethe. Ishadi lichaza okwenzekile; alibikezeli okuzayo.
Imibuzo evame ukubuzwa
Isho ukuthini i-USD/RUB?
I-USD/RUB iyintengo yedola elilodwa lase-US ilinganiswe ngamarubula aseRussia. Inani elingu-80 lisho ukuthi idola elilodwa libiza amarubula angu-80. Lapho inombolo ikhuphuka irubula liyabuthaka, futhi lapho iwa irubula liyaqina.
Yini eyinto eqhuba kakhulu irubula?
Imali engenayo yokuthumela ngaphandle uwoyela negesi iyona nto ebalulekile kunazo zonke, ngoba ukudayiswa kwamandla kuletha uhlobo lwemali lwangaphandle eRussia. Izinhlungu, ukulawulwa kwemali, izinqumo zamazinga enzalo ze-Central Bank of Russia kanye nezindaba zezombangazwe zamazwe naso zishukumisa izinga, ngezinye izikhathi kanyekanye.
Kungani irubula liguquguquka kangaka?
Irubula lincike kakhulu emanani ezimpahla eziyisisekelo futhi livezwa ezenzakalweni zezombangazwe, ngakho lingashenxa kakhulu ekunyakazeni kwamandla noma ezihlokweni zezindaba zezombangazwe zamazwe. Ubunengi obuvinjelwe kusukela ngo-2022 bungakhulisa lokho kunyakaza.
Kungani izinga ngezinye izikhathi lingahambi kancane?
Ukulawulwa kwemali nokungenelela kwebhange elimele kungagcina i-USD/RUB endaweni encane isikhathi eside. Ngalezo zikhathi izinga libonisa inqubomgomo nokuvinjelwa njengoba kunjalo nokuhlangana nokudingeka ngokukhululekile kwemakethe, ngakho lingabonakala lizolile ngokungajwayelekile.
Amanani owoyela athinta kanjani i-USD/RUB?
Amanani owoyela negesi aphezulu akhulisa ukugeleza kohlobo lwemali lwangaphandle oluvela ekuthumeleni ngaphandle, okuvame ukusekela irubula futhi kududulele i-USD/RUB phansi. Amanani amandla ewayo ancipha kukho lokho kugeleza futhi ngokuvamile kubuthakise irubula.
Intengo ekuleli khasi ivela kuphi?
Ishadi lithela intengo ye-USD/RUB ephilayo ngokusebenzisa i-TradingView. Ngenxa yokuhlukaniswa kwesikhathi sezinhlungu, amanani angahluka phakathi kwezindawo zohwebo. Kunikezwa injongo yolwazi kuphela futhi akusona isincomo sokuthenga noma ukuthengisa.
Leli khasi lisenzelwe injongo yolwazi kuphela futhi alilona iseluleko sokutshala imali. Amanani ohlobo lwemali ayaguquguquka futhi angahamba ngamandla. Njalo yenza ucwaningo lwakho ngaphambi kokwenza izinqumo zezimali.